2016 US Presidential Primaries

Jan  7 to 14 , 2016 Quotas methods

 

 

Republican (GOP):  Donald Trump will be nominated at the first round of the Republican convention.

 

Democrats (DEM) : Hillary Clinton  will be nominated at the first round of the Democrat convention

 

 

2022 French Presidential Election

(Poll & Analysis April 8 , 2022)

First  Round:

1)  LEPEN 23,6%

2)  MACRON 23,5%

3)  MELANCHON 16%

4)  ZEMMOUR 12%

5)  PECRESSE 9 %

 

 

2021 French Regional Election PACA (south)

(Poll & Analysis June 11, 2021)

First  Round:

1) T. Mariani (RN) 44%

2) R. Muselier (LREM)  31.5%

3) J.L. Felizia (socialist) 17%

 

Second Round:

Hypothesis 3 remaining candidates:

1) Mariani (RN) 46% Elected

2) Muselier(LREM) 33%

3) JL Felizia (Socialist) 21%

Hypothesis 2 remaining candidates

1) Mariani (RN) 52% Elected

2) Muselier(LREM) 48%

2022 French Presidential Elections

(Poll & Analysis May 20, 2021)

First  Round:

  1. M. LePen (RN) 29.5%

  2. E. Macron (LREM) 24%

  3. LR Candidate (right) 10%

  4. J.L. Mélencon (LFI) 9%

  5. ELLV (Jadot) 7%

  6. P.S. Hidalgo 6%

  7. N. Dupont Aignan (DLF) 5%

  8. A. Montebourg (ex PS) 4%

  9. Radical  Left Candidate 2%

 

Second Round:

  • Marine LePen (RN) ELECTED 51%

  • Emmanuel Macron (LREM) 49%

 

2022 French Presidential Elections

(Poll & analysis February 10, 2021)

First  Round:

  1. M. LePen (RN) 28%

  2. E. Macron (LREM) 21%

  3. X Bertrand (right) 13%

  4. J.L. Mélencon (LFI) 9%

  5. N. Dupont Aignan (DLF) 7%

  6. A. Hidalgo (PS) 7%

  7. A. Montebourg (ex PS) 4%

  8. Radical  Left Candidate 2%

2 1/2 Months later French polls have the same figures..

Second Round:

  • Marine LePen (RN) ELECTED 50.1%

  • Emmanuel Macron (LREM) 49.8%

(within the margin of error)

 

2020 French Municipal Elections

Paris:

  • Hidalgo (PS) 44%

  • Dati (LR) 42%

  • Buzyn (LRM) 14%

Perpignan:

  • Aliot (RN) 54%

  • Pujol (LR) 46%

2019 European Elections (France)  May 24 2019 Projection based on published polls and trends.

  • RN (ex FN) 23%

  • LREM + MODEM + AGIR 21.5%

  • LR 9.5%

  • France Insoumise 8.5%

  • EELV 8%

  • Dupont-Aignant  5%

  • PS 4%

  • Pariotes 3%

  • Génération S. 2.5% 

  • PC 1.5%

  • all other lists (  Extreme Right, Extremee left, Lassalle,etc. ) equal or inferior to 1 %

 

​ .

 

 

DATED 12/04/2015

Predictions of the result of the first round of French Regional Election

NATIONAL

 

  1. Front National 29%

  2. Union de la Droite 27%

  3. PS 23%

 

BY REGIONS

 

Alsace Champagne Ardennes Lorraine (ALCA)

 

  1. Front National 36%

  2. Union Droite 28%

  3. PS 17%

 

Aquitaine Limousin Poitou Charente

 

  1. Union de la Droite 31%

  2. FN 27%

  3. PS 27%

 

Auvergne Rhône-Alpes

 

  1. Union de la Droite 31%

  2. FN 30%

  3. PS 27%

 

Bourgogne Franche-Comté

 

  1. Front National 33%

  2. Union Droite 23%

  3. PS 17%

 

Bretagne

 

  1. PS 28%

  2. FN 24%

  3. Union de la Droite 24%

 

Centre Val de Loire

 

  1.  Front National 32%

  2.  Union Droite 28%

  3. PS 22%

 

Île-de-France

 

  1. Union Droite 31%

  2. PS 23%

  3. Front National

 

Languedoc Roussillon Midi-Pyrénées

 

  1. Front National 35%

  2. PS 22%

  3. Union de la Droite 19%

 

Nord Pas de Calais Picardie

 

  1. Front National 41%

  2. Union de la Droite 20%

  3. PS  20%

 

Normandie

 

  1. Front National 25%

  2. Droite Unie 22%

  3. PS 20%

 

Pays de Loire

 

  1. Union de la Droite  31%

  2. PS 27%

  3. Front National  25%

 

PACA

 

  1. Front National 42%

  2. Droite Unie 28%

  3. PS 17%